Tag: COVID
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Covid Prediction
Recap and Analysis Well, I have to say that I missed the mark on my predictions for the last two months of the year. I stated that the death numbers would climb to about 1000. The numbers as reported climbed to an daily average the last 3 weeks November of about 1450. The last seven…
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2020 Excess Deaths Analyzed
I have read many things about excess deaths in 2020, and how they relate to COVID. Some people claim there are no excess deaths. Others claim that excess deaths are much higher even than the COVID deaths. Being a numbers guy, I decided to run the numbers myself. But I wanted to look at the…
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The Sky is Falling – Or is it?
To listen to the news this month, you would think that the worst predictions for a Covid-19 tsunami have come to pass and more. Not just a second wave, but a tsunami. But what do the numbers really state? I was not planning on revisiting my predictions and where the cases are running till mid…
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We are tired of COVID Messaging not COVID
Today Trump stated that we are tired of hearing about COVID-19. I don’t think that is exactly what he meant. I think he meant we are actually tired of hearing the COVID-19 messaging that is going on. At least I am. I truly empathize with those who have been affected by the virus. I feel…
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Covid-19 Estimates Update
On September 1st, I made estimates for daily deaths from COVID-19 would be at the end of September. Actually, I updated my estimates based on the numbers at the end of August. At the first of August, I had estimated numbers for August and September. For August, I had estimated total deaths for the month…